ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF LAND SUBSIDENCE IN SHANGHAI BASED ON AR MODEL
Yan Jianguo 1) ;Chen Zhengsong 2) ;Luo Zhicai 3) ; and Li Qiong 3)
1)State Key Laboratory of Information Engineering in Surveying,Mapping and Remote Sensing, Wuhan University ,Wuhan 4300792)Institute of Seismology,China Earthquake Administration,WuHan 4300713)Key Laboratory of Geospace Envionment and Geodesy,Ministry of Education,Wuhan 430079
Abstract：The AR model is used to make fitting evaluation of land subsidence in Shanghai area. AR serial prediction model is cerived according to AIC law, and the computed result indicates that the results from AR(4) model are exactly in accordance with actual results and with this model the prediction of land subsidence in future 10 years of Shanghai area was been given.
